Its amazing the way macro economics work.
A pin drop somewhere can cause a earthquake elsewhere.
Like.. currently the steel prices are rising beyond control.
This is directly affecting the manufacturing sector.
But wait, the story doesn't end there.
Against the rules of the game, Maruti Udyog has decided to increase the car prizes.
Soon Tata Motors will follow the suite.
This will directly cause inflation in transportation cost.
Transport is the backbone of any economy. Every aspect of the economy depends upon the transport facilities.
Basic necessities like food and oil are available to us cos of this transportation industry.
An increase in the cost of vehicles will increase the cost of transport.
Also, increase in cost of steel will increase the cost of road construction and general infrastructure development.
Not to mention the high prices of fuel.
The prices of eatables are set to increase.
A common man has no option but to have more income to run the household.
Thus, there is an expected increase in the salaries and wages.
That goes in hand with the current high inflation rate.
When the basic needs are costly, it implies that the other things like services and entertainment are not sought for.
With recession in the manufacturing sector and slow growth of agriculture sector, the service sector will automatically get hampered cos there is no money to avail the services.
Service sector depends upon the mass utilization of services.
So a small effect here can bring it down in no time.
The banks are enjoying themselves by charging high rate of interest and thus holding down the cash flow.
This is the time to spend money, but where will the money come from.
Should the government cut down the taxes or should the banks encourage loans by cutting the rate of interests.
One aspect of the economy that many of us overlook is the R and D
Yes...
This is one thing that needs major attention.
Research is needed not only in form of technology and science, but also in management.
Management of Funds, Resources, Man Power, Environment,
I think this is the time when scholars and learned people should work overtime and more money should be spent on development of society.
Too much emphasis on these three major sectors has resulted in social growth.
Now is the time for diversification.
Let the money be spent on social uplifting. This seems to be non profitable. It is, but, for a shorter period of time.
A better society will automatically bring the economy back on track. People who don't have money today will get it tomorrow, invest it a day after and thus it will be back to where it was in a few days time.
As the money remains in a flow there wont be any stagnancy as it is today.
There will be a 3 dimensional growth in the society and that is what is called as development.
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4 comments:
nice.... i wud say i agree to most of it! but the government is concerned not at research but abt quota system to gather votes!!! 27% quota in premier institutes...i dont wanna say this but.... IT HAPPENS ONLY IN INDIA!!
koi bhi desh perfect nahi hota
use perfect banana padta hai...
but here, the discussion is abt world economics and not Indian politics.
nice article. I missed what the three dimensions you mention in the end though -- R&D, and ?
Definitely social uplifting is the way to go. But that is not going to solve all the problems. There is still the cycle of economy going up and going down. US has good social equity (compared to many other countries anyway), still there is the inflation, economic down turn etc. These are patterns of natural human greed and subsequent inevitable busts. In DotCom days everyone thought all companies are going to be billion $ sized, which did not happen. The current crisis is happening because everyone thought the house prices are always going to go up, and of course that did not happen either.
So, we should not despair about the cycles in economics, they work in the opposite way too. When things are positive and stock markets are going up, the same cycle becomes very rewarding for everyone.
Finally, I resent you business folks asking us poor researchers to work overtime, every time there is a problem though:) It was not caused by us, so leave us alone and let us think about the tiny hypothetical problems we are excited about :)
dash ..
you last line says it all
Poor Researchers..
thats the problem,
Researchers are few and often neglected.
hence overburdened...
This has to change.
Major activities carried out should be research and development. Not in science or Medicine or anything but in public welfare
different people with different mindset must be taught to live together in harmony.
Due to globalisation divers communities are constantly trying to match up with each other.
This has to change.
For that Social Uplifting is necassary
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